Another Resident Speaks Out

This was received from another resident of BGV, who calls him/herself "BGV Resident"...! We reprint this email verbatim, and add our own comments below. It goes to show that when the Protem SC becomes pushy, rather than becoming more transparent, they are actually becoming less so. We only anonymise the newly increased reserve price (henceforth $Y).

BGV Resident writes:

"I have just read the fresh circular letter from Mr John Lee today. Funny how he says he doesn't have any problem with the new law - as if he has a choice - and goes on to say that they have been guided by the same principles of "transparency and accountability". Is that why: -

1. there was no proper survey to show whether even more than 50% owners wish to embark on the enbloc exercise?
2. there was no general meeting called to properly initiate a sales committee?
3. the self-styled protem sales committee took it upon themselves to choose for all owners, the agent and lawyer, and inform owners only after the fact?
4. we are told that one member of the sales committee is employed by a "property developer" but we do not know which developer, and cannot decide for ourselves whether there is truly no conflict of interest, as Mr Lee claimed at the August owners' meeting?
5. Mr Gan the lawyer was proudly introduced as Deputy President of the Strata Titles Board at the August meeting while he was at the same time acting for the committee to move this CSA along, as if there is no conflict of interest?
6. till this day, the slides presented at the August owners' meeting (containing vital explanations, estimates, figures and other proposed terms) have not even been circulated to all owners, even though this was requested at the meeting?
7. we have no explanation of how the figure of $Y psf ppr was decided upon, as opposed to any other figure? [The only clue in the letter is that it says Ardmore Park went for $2337 and for some reason their new figure is close to this (rather than the latest figure in the list, $1810 psf ppr for Grangeford.) What would an up-to-date valuation report of BGV say - we are way off or on the mark?]
   

I also wonder why Mr Lee is concerned about the coming legislative changes regarding EOGMs etc, since Mr Gan the lawyer was so confident in explaining during the August meeting that his drafting of the CSA (paragraph 25 on page 18) would take care of any changes to the law and that the CSA would not be badly affected.

Finally, the last page of Mr Lee's letter shows what a sad state they are in - to argue that we should move to other enbloc-possibility condos (out of the frying pan into the fire), some even older than BGV, and to even faraway Punggol 21 (forgetting the fact that we currently enjoy living near the one and only original Botanic Gardens, Tanglin Mall, Orchard Road, Bukit Timah Road and Holland Village, in a location that people would die for and is not replaceable by any of those he mentioned)! Talk about comparing apples with pears, as far as Punggol 21 is concerned."

Many thanks to BGV Resident for your honest response. We would like to add the following as well:-

1. It is really a bitter pill to swallow when Mr Lee's letter on "Where to Stay" lists out places that are condos that are ONGOING en blocs (eg Pandan Valley, Normanton, Pine Grove, Ridgewood etc), or even Punggol 21, when he himself lives in his comfortable bungalow nearby (as verified in the White Pages). It is questionable if the chairman even stays in BGV. It really doesn't matter to him if you miss Botanic Gardens because it's only a stone's throw from his home.
   
2. Is the PSC's idea of transparency one where a letter is sent out on the 4th Sep 2007 for an Owners' Meeting on 8th Sep 2007? Sure, everyone received the letter (eventually) but how many could change their appointments at the last minute, especially during the school term break, to attend an urgent meeting with Mr Gan? Less than 40 people turned up including the PSC.
3. How transparent is the PSC when they failed to inform you that URA refuses to support the PSC's application for a 10 storey redevelopment? That the maximum allowable height in the event of a total redevelopment is STILL FOUR STOREYS? We will inform you in the immediate future our own discussions with URA and what we found out (especially about the 1.4 vs 1.8 plot ratio).
4. Does the revised RP $Y mean that CBRE will benefit from the excess fee charge (since it already exceeds $X as stated in the last agreement)? Or will $Y be fixed at 0.38%?
5. Where is the calculation for valuation that is a part of the method of distribution? It was promised (along with the slides) to everyone that the valuation formula and rationale would be sent to all owners.
   

Is the sale done in 'good faith'? It is beginning to appear that good faith is beginning to go out the window in the rush to get that 80% that the PSC desperately needs.

Tags: Taman Serasi, Botanic Gardens View, en-bloc, collective sale

Reserve Price Increase - Trying to Pre-empt the New Law

Apologies for the lack of update. We've been busy compiling our notes and comparing them from the last meeting. We'll be putting these notes up shortly as well as our comments on them.

In addition, another letter arrived from Mr Lee. This time they have increased the Reserve Price (RP) by about 18%. We knew this was going to happen as it is a common tactic by agents and SCs to bump up the RP when the signature collection has stagnated, things are not moving along, or when they are facing a deadline.

And what deadline is this? Not the worry about financial market tsunamis, but of a Law coming into existence. Here's 3 things to think about before you sign the dotted line:

1. A bump of 18% is significant. CBRE and the PSC obviously knows that this can be done. So why start at the amount stated in the CSA (henceforth named "X")? Improved market conditions (but didn't he worry about tsunamis?)? Or is it because $X is easier to secure a sale with a buyer? In other words, rather than getting the best possible value for your property, by initially starting with $X, the PSC has opted for the FASTEST way of selling your property. Put it another way, if 80% signed at $X on the 5 Aug, then ALL of us would not have received the 18% extra present.
   


2. By increasing the RP, they are now pushing for the FASTEST way of getting 80%. But this beckons - if they can bump up by 18%, does that not speak volumes about HOW MUCH MORE THE ESTATE IS WORTH? Think about it this way - from not signing, you have just witnessed an 18% increase in value in your unit in less than 2 months. We reiterate our point - that we as owners need not worry about how valuable our estate is - we KNOW it is valuable, and it should be us who dictate the selling price. Eng Lok didn't become the highest en bloc sale of its time because it followed the market; it LED the market.


3. The latest letter was very silent of concerns by owners about the Horizon Towers situation. Lately there are even more cases being brought to court or STB that are contested on legal grounds. Increasingly, points of law around the sale and the CSA are brought to question. Considering that the sale of the property will be of the same range as that of Horizon Towers and it is likely that only major developers like CDL, SC Global, HPL, Capitaland, etc will attempt to buy the estate, what are the consequences for majority owners if major issues are brought up at STB hearings or in court that might lead the case to be dismissed? Issues that are may be recognised and prevented under the new Law because it will force things to become systematic, transparent and fair? We are ultimately small buyers versus a major developer if it comes down to lawsuits and there is no written guarantee that what happened to Horizon Towers will not happen to us.
   

We will post our notes of the 8 September Owners' Meeting and you can judge for yourself if you feel safe signing your rights away in the increasingly risky process of en bloc sales. We ask for your patience as this is not a matter anyone wants to take lightly. It isn't simply a matter of signing on the dotted line, as much as the PSC would want you to believe.

Tags: taman serasi, botanic gardens view, botanic gardens mansion, collective sale, collective sales, en bloc, en-bloc, en-bloc sale, enbloc, enbloc sale, singapore

Beware of Tsunamis and Hurricanes!

A number of owners have received via email an update from Mr John Lee of the Pro-tem Sale Comiittee (PSC) dated 17 Aug 07, which we have included in the Comments section for those of you who did not receive it.

We would like to thank Mr John Lee for his detailed analysis of the “Future Uncertainties”, and of the impending hurricane, tsunami and assorted scarring of the world economy. Mr Lee paints a picture of a very gloomy outlook in the future, one dominated by a global recession which will affect all countries. Mr Lee is entitled to his strong beliefs about the pessimistic future, undoubtedly from his experiences in an investment company.

We find it strange, therefore, that a systematic search through various media sources including Asian Wall Street Journal, Financial Times, Business Times, New York Times, London Independent, plus 30 other news sources, in the past 6 months revealed only four articles that talked about a global recession (Straits Times 19 Aug 07, Australian Financial Review 4 Aug 07, Montreal Gazette 2 Apr 07 and New Straits Times 6 Mar 07). All 4 articles pointed out that a global recession is not forthcoming.

For example, just recently, Sunday Times reported that “experts polled by the Sunday Times do not believe the sub-prime crisis in the United States will lead to a global recession” (19 Aug 07). The Business Times (17 Aug 07) also argued that the domestic economic growth will not be dampened; it'll be driven by booming building and construction activities that are not going to halt. David Lum from Daiwa Institute of Research pointed out that the “building and construction driver is not going to slow down at all, and that driver is good for a few more years, not just this year”, contrary to Mr Lee’s forecast of a downturn in fairly soon.

Perhaps we should turn to another Lee for his views. Minister Mentor Lee, founding father of modern Singapore, over the weekend assured Singaporeans that the market nervousness will go away soon. He asserted that "whatever the troubles, they will go away in weeks, if not months. What we are absolutely sure of (about) East Asia is that it is set to grow. Nothing will change the long-term plans and growth of China and India, and the rest of Asia”. MM Lee also stated that Singapore’s future is secure, and that “economic growth is here to stay for the next 10, 15 years or more”.

Ultimately, whether you believe Mr Lee or MM Lee is up to your own beliefs about the future, your risk disposition and whether you simply need the cash now or not. If you take Mr Lee’s gloomy outlook, then by that logic, if the tsunami and hurricanes are at your doorstep, it would make sense to individually cash out your property investment now, as opposed to taking the riskier route of going for an en-bloc which can take anything from a year to two, without a guarantee of a sale until legal completion.

On the other hand, experts will tell you that in the face of volatile economies, the best thing to do, if you are not strapped for cash, is to wait and hold out. The land value of Botanic Gardens View will always appreciate in the short and long term future.

Furthermore, and importantly, if developers are becoming more cautious, then perhaps we may already be too late in maximising our land value. After all, the MD of Credo has reported that developers have “bought more than they ever intended” and will be slowing their purchases down (ChannelNewsAsia 18 Aug 07). Will we then expect to see the PSC lower the reserve price, to make it more ‘realistic’? Or to put this in another way, to ensure that the sale goes through, even though it may not be the true potential value of the land?

Whether you believe we’re too late or not, wouldn’t it be better to just wait and see what happens in this "increasingly unfavourable economic situation", rather than push for the sale and get a less than satisfactory sales proceed?

You can believe Mr Lee or MM Lee. But regardless of which side you take, common sense tells you that you are the owner of a unit in a land that will always be in demand, and that you can afford to be patient, rather than be persuaded by hurricanes, tsunamis and assorted disasters.

(For those owners who did not receive Mr Lee’s email, you can find it in the comments section.)

Tags: taman serasi, botanic gardens view, botanic garden view, botanic gardens, botanical gardens, collective sale, collective sales, en bloc, en-bloc, en-bloc sale, enbloc, enbloc sale, real estate, singapore